Written by Staff Writer at CNN
Ian Bremmer, President of political risk consultancy Eurasia Group, answers questions about the world in a special live chat:
How do elections in Western countries affect risk perception?
One place where we’ve seen these effects is Russia — this is Trump, a former Republican candidate. And he is a political outsider so there was some unease that he would be the new president in 2017. So, what’s new? It was (the premise of 2018’s) “Russia – What is the Case for the US?” — which actually struck a chord with a lot of people in the US about the weakness of the Russia case.
Trump might have some big wins ahead of him. I think he will also be damaged in all the things he is unhappy about, like his policy on immigration or the investigations, which he’s likely to escalate. That may raise the international risk of the US under Trump and his disdain for norms. It could also increase the risk that the US takes the steps that would break Russia. We could see a destabilization of the entire Mideast if Trump decides to abandon the Iran nuclear deal.
Read the full discussion here: